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-118 Odds Explained

Decimal
1.85
American
-118
Fractional
50/59
Implied probability
54.13%
Polymarket
54¢
$100 wins
84.75
Inputs
Results
Decimal odds1.847
American
-118
Fractional
50/59
Implied probability
54.13%
Polymarket
54¢
Profit
84.75
Total return
184.75

1.847 decimal, -118 American, 54.13% implied probability

The price -118 converts to 1.85 decimal odds and 50/59 fractional odds. Read as a probability it says the bookmaker prices this outcome at 54.13%, which is the share of the time you would need to win just to break even. A prediction market would quote the same chance as 54¢.

What -118 pays

A 100 stake at -118 returns 184.75 in total: your 100 back plus 84.75 profit. To win exactly 100 you would stake 118.00. The table covers the stakes people actually use.

Payout by stake
StakeProfitTotal return
108.4718.47
2521.1946.19
5042.3792.37
10084.75184.75
500423.73923.73
1,000847.461,847.46

Break-even and long-run results

The implied probability of -118 is 54.13%, and that number is also the break-even win rate: win more often than 54.13% of the time at this price and you profit in the long run, win less often and you lose. The table shows the return on stake at a few win rates, including the break-even rate itself.

Return on stake by long-run win rate
Win rateReturn on stake
50%-7.6%
54%-0.2%
55%1.6%
60%10.8%
65%20.1%

-118 sits close to even money. The bookmaker sees this as roughly a coin flip, with the margin nudging both sides of the market a little under fair. Point spreads and totals live here: the line moves to make each side about a 50% proposition, and the price carries the juice.

The vig at -118

If both sides of a two-way market were priced at -118, the implied probabilities would add up to 8.26% above 100%. That excess is the overround, or vig; as a share of stakes it is a 7.63% margin for the bookmaker. Removing it leaves fair odds of 2.00 decimal ( +100) on each side. Use the devig calculator to do the same for any market.

-118 on a betting exchange

Exchanges charge commission on net winnings, so the price you see is not the price you get. At 2% commission -118 is worth 1.831 decimal (-120 American); at 5% it drops to 1.805 (-124). Those are the bookmaker prices you would need to beat.

Effective odds on an exchange
CommissionEffective decimalEffective AmericanBreak-even
2%1.831-12054.63%
5%1.805-12455.40%

Same price in other formats

Same price in other formats

Nearby prices

Nearby prices

  • -128 · 1.78 · 56.1%
  • -123 · 1.81 · 55.2%
  • -120 · 1.83 · 54.5%
  • -119 · 1.84 · 54.3%
  • -117 · 1.85 · 53.9%
  • -116 · 1.86 · 53.7%
  • -113 · 1.88 · 53.1%
  • -108 · 1.93 · 51.9%

Frequently asked questions

What does -118 mean in betting?

-118 is an American price. Positive numbers show the profit on a 100 stake; negative numbers show the stake needed to win 100. At -118 the implied probability is 54.13% and a 100 stake returns 184.75.

What is -118 in decimal odds?

-118 converts to 1.847 in decimal odds (usually shown as 1.85). Decimal odds are the total return per unit staked, so multiply your stake by 1.847 to get the return.

What is -118 as a fraction?

-118 is 50/59 in fractional odds, the traditional bookmaker notation where the top number is profit and the bottom number is stake.

How much do I win on a 100 bet at -118?

A 100 stake at -118 wins 84.75 in profit and returns 184.75 including the stake. To win exactly 100 you would stake 118.00.

What win rate do I need at -118?

The break-even win rate equals the implied probability, 54.13%. Winning more often than that at this price is profitable over the long run; winning less often loses money.