-164 Odds Explained
- Decimal
- 1.61
- American
- -164
- Fractional
- 25/41
- Implied probability
- 62.12%
- Polymarket
- 62¢
- $100 wins
- 60.98
- American
- -164
- Fractional
- 25/41
- Implied probability
- 62.12%
- Polymarket
- 62¢
- Profit
- 60.98
- Total return
- 160.98
1.610 decimal, -164 American, 62.12% implied probability
The price -164 converts to 1.61 decimal odds and 25/41 fractional odds. Read as a probability it says the bookmaker prices this outcome at 62.12%, which is the share of the time you would need to win just to break even. A prediction market would quote the same chance as 62¢.
What -164 pays
A 100 stake at -164 returns 160.98 in total: your 100 back plus 60.98 profit. To win exactly 100 you would stake 164.00. The table covers the stakes people actually use.
| Stake | Profit | Total return |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 6.10 | 16.10 |
| 25 | 15.24 | 40.24 |
| 50 | 30.49 | 80.49 |
| 100 | 60.98 | 160.98 |
| 500 | 304.88 | 804.88 |
| 1,000 | 609.76 | 1,609.76 |
Break-even and long-run results
The implied probability of -164 is 62.12%, and that number is also the break-even win rate: win more often than 62.12% of the time at this price and you profit in the long run, win less often and you lose. The table shows the return on stake at a few win rates, including the break-even rate itself.
| Win rate | Return on stake |
|---|---|
| 50% | -19.5% |
| 55% | -11.5% |
| 60% | -3.4% |
| 62% | -0.2% |
| 65% | 4.6% |
With an implied probability of 62.12%, -164 is a moderate favourite. Prices in this band are where the bookmaker's margin is easiest to see: the opposite side of the market is usually priced a little longer than the fair line, and the two implied probabilities add up to more than 100%.
The vig at -164
If both sides of a two-way market were priced at -164, the implied probabilities would add up to 24.24% above 100%. That excess is the overround, or vig; as a share of stakes it is a 19.51% margin for the bookmaker. Removing it leaves fair odds of 2.00 decimal ( +100) on each side. Use the devig calculator to do the same for any market.
-164 on a betting exchange
Exchanges charge commission on net winnings, so the price you see is not the price you get. At 2% commission -164 is worth 1.598 decimal (-167 American); at 5% it drops to 1.579 (-173). Those are the bookmaker prices you would need to beat.
| Commission | Effective decimal | Effective American | Break-even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | 1.598 | -167 | 62.60% |
| 5% | 1.579 | -173 | 63.32% |
Same price in other formats
Nearby prices
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Frequently asked questions
What does -164 mean in betting?
-164 is an American price. Positive numbers show the profit on a 100 stake; negative numbers show the stake needed to win 100. At -164 the implied probability is 62.12% and a 100 stake returns 160.98.
What is -164 in decimal odds?
-164 converts to 1.610 in decimal odds (usually shown as 1.61). Decimal odds are the total return per unit staked, so multiply your stake by 1.610 to get the return.
What is -164 as a fraction?
-164 is 25/41 in fractional odds, the traditional bookmaker notation where the top number is profit and the bottom number is stake.
How much do I win on a 100 bet at -164?
A 100 stake at -164 wins 60.98 in profit and returns 160.98 including the stake. To win exactly 100 you would stake 164.00.
What win rate do I need at -164?
The break-even win rate equals the implied probability, 62.12%. Winning more often than that at this price is profitable over the long run; winning less often loses money.