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-1650 Odds Explained

Decimal
1.06
American
-1,650
Fractional
2/33
Implied probability
94.29%
Polymarket
94¢
$100 wins
6.06
Inputs
Results
Decimal odds1.061
American
-1,650
Fractional
2/33
Implied probability
94.29%
Polymarket
94¢
Profit
6.06
Total return
106.06

1.061 decimal, -1,650 American, 94.29% implied probability

The price -1650 converts to 1.06 decimal odds and 2/33 fractional odds. Read as a probability it says the bookmaker prices this outcome at 94.29%, which is the share of the time you would need to win just to break even. A prediction market would quote the same chance as 94¢.

What -1650 pays

A 100 stake at -1650 returns 106.06 in total: your 100 back plus 6.06 profit. To win exactly 100 you would stake 1,650.00. The table covers the stakes people actually use.

Payout by stake
StakeProfitTotal return
100.6110.61
251.5226.52
503.0353.03
1006.06106.06
50030.30530.30
1,00060.611,060.61

Break-even and long-run results

The implied probability of -1650 is 94.29%, and that number is also the break-even win rate: win more often than 94.29% of the time at this price and you profit in the long run, win less often and you lose. The table shows the return on stake at a few win rates, including the break-even rate itself.

Return on stake by long-run win rate
Win rateReturn on stake
50%-47.0%
55%-41.7%
60%-36.4%
65%-31.1%
94%-0.3%

A price of -1650 is deep odds-on. Bookmakers quote it when an outcome is close to a formality, and the margin they take is proportionally large at this end of the market. Sharp bettors tend to look at the other side of such a market, or at the exchange, where the same favourite is often available a tick or two better.

The vig at -1650

If both sides of a two-way market were priced at -1650, the implied probabilities would add up to 88.57% above 100%. That excess is the overround, or vig; as a share of stakes it is a 46.97% margin for the bookmaker. Removing it leaves fair odds of 2.00 decimal ( +100) on each side. Use the devig calculator to do the same for any market.

-1650 on a betting exchange

Exchanges charge commission on net winnings, so the price you see is not the price you get. At 2% commission -1650 is worth 1.059 decimal (-1,684 American); at 5% it drops to 1.058 (-1,737). Those are the bookmaker prices you would need to beat.

Effective odds on an exchange
CommissionEffective decimalEffective AmericanBreak-even
2%1.059-1,68494.39%
5%1.058-1,73794.56%

Same price in other formats

Same price in other formats

Nearby prices

Nearby prices

Frequently asked questions

What does -1650 mean in betting?

-1650 is an American price. Positive numbers show the profit on a 100 stake; negative numbers show the stake needed to win 100. At -1650 the implied probability is 94.29% and a 100 stake returns 106.06.

What is -1650 in decimal odds?

-1650 converts to 1.061 in decimal odds (usually shown as 1.06). Decimal odds are the total return per unit staked, so multiply your stake by 1.061 to get the return.

What is -1650 as a fraction?

-1650 is 2/33 in fractional odds, the traditional bookmaker notation where the top number is profit and the bottom number is stake.

How much do I win on a 100 bet at -1650?

A 100 stake at -1650 wins 6.06 in profit and returns 106.06 including the stake. To win exactly 100 you would stake 1,650.00.

What win rate do I need at -1650?

The break-even win rate equals the implied probability, 94.29%. Winning more often than that at this price is profitable over the long run; winning less often loses money.