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-232 Odds Explained

Decimal
1.43
American
-232
Fractional
25/58
Implied probability
69.88%
Polymarket
70¢
$100 wins
43.10
Inputs
Results
Decimal odds1.431
American
-232
Fractional
25/58
Implied probability
69.88%
Polymarket
70¢
Profit
43.10
Total return
143.10

1.431 decimal, -232 American, 69.88% implied probability

American odds of -232 mean

you risk 232 to win 100

. In decimal notation that is 1.43, in fractional notation 25/58, and the implied probability is 69.88%. On a prediction market the same price is a 70¢ share.

What -232 pays

A 100 stake at -232 returns 143.10 in total: your 100 back plus 43.10 profit. To win exactly 100 you would stake 232.00. The table covers the stakes people actually use.

Payout by stake
StakeProfitTotal return
104.3114.31
2510.7835.78
5021.5571.55
10043.10143.10
500215.52715.52
1,000431.031,431.03

Break-even and long-run results

The implied probability of -232 is 69.88%, and that number is also the break-even win rate: win more often than 69.88% of the time at this price and you profit in the long run, win less often and you lose. The table shows the return on stake at a few win rates, including the break-even rate itself.

Return on stake by long-run win rate
Win rateReturn on stake
50%-28.4%
55%-21.3%
60%-14.1%
65%-7.0%
70%0.2%

With an implied probability of 69.88%, -232 is a moderate favourite. Prices in this band are where the bookmaker's margin is easiest to see: the opposite side of the market is usually priced a little longer than the fair line, and the two implied probabilities add up to more than 100%.

The vig at -232

If both sides of a two-way market were priced at -232, the implied probabilities would add up to 39.76% above 100%. That excess is the overround, or vig; as a share of stakes it is a 28.45% margin for the bookmaker. Removing it leaves fair odds of 2.00 decimal ( +100) on each side. Use the devig calculator to do the same for any market.

-232 on a betting exchange

Exchanges charge commission on net winnings, so the price you see is not the price you get. At 2% commission -232 is worth 1.422 decimal (-237 American); at 5% it drops to 1.409 (-244). Those are the bookmaker prices you would need to beat.

Effective odds on an exchange
CommissionEffective decimalEffective AmericanBreak-even
2%1.422-23770.30%
5%1.409-24470.95%

Same price in other formats

Same price in other formats

Nearby prices

Nearby prices

  • -242 · 1.41 · 70.8%
  • -237 · 1.42 · 70.3%
  • -234 · 1.43 · 70.1%
  • -233 · 1.43 · 70.0%
  • -231 · 1.43 · 69.8%
  • -230 · 1.43 · 69.7%
  • -227 · 1.44 · 69.4%
  • -222 · 1.45 · 68.9%

Frequently asked questions

What does -232 mean in betting?

-232 is an American price. Positive numbers show the profit on a 100 stake; negative numbers show the stake needed to win 100. At -232 the implied probability is 69.88% and a 100 stake returns 143.10.

What is -232 in decimal odds?

-232 converts to 1.431 in decimal odds (usually shown as 1.43). Decimal odds are the total return per unit staked, so multiply your stake by 1.431 to get the return.

What is -232 as a fraction?

-232 is 25/58 in fractional odds, the traditional bookmaker notation where the top number is profit and the bottom number is stake.

How much do I win on a 100 bet at -232?

A 100 stake at -232 wins 43.10 in profit and returns 143.10 including the stake. To win exactly 100 you would stake 232.00.

What win rate do I need at -232?

The break-even win rate equals the implied probability, 69.88%. Winning more often than that at this price is profitable over the long run; winning less often loses money.