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-295 Odds Explained

Decimal
1.34
American
-295
Fractional
20/59
Implied probability
74.68%
Polymarket
75¢
$100 wins
33.90
Inputs
Results
Decimal odds1.339
American
-295
Fractional
20/59
Implied probability
74.68%
Polymarket
75¢
Profit
33.90
Total return
133.90

1.339 decimal, -295 American, 74.68% implied probability

-295 is an American price:

the minus sign marks a favourite, and the number is the stake needed to win 100

. Every other format describes the same chance: 1.34 decimal, 20/59 fractional, 74.68% implied probability, 75¢ on Polymarket.

What -295 pays

A 100 stake at -295 returns 133.90 in total: your 100 back plus 33.90 profit. To win exactly 100 you would stake 295.00. The table covers the stakes people actually use.

Payout by stake
StakeProfitTotal return
103.3913.39
258.4733.47
5016.9566.95
10033.90133.90
500169.49669.49
1,000338.981,338.98

Break-even and long-run results

The implied probability of -295 is 74.68%, and that number is also the break-even win rate: win more often than 74.68% of the time at this price and you profit in the long run, win less often and you lose. The table shows the return on stake at a few win rates, including the break-even rate itself.

Return on stake by long-run win rate
Win rateReturn on stake
50%-33.1%
55%-26.4%
60%-19.7%
65%-13.0%
75%0.4%

-295 marks a clear favourite without being a lock: the implied chance is 74.68%, so the bookmaker expects this outcome roughly two times in three. Moneylines on the better team in an evenly scheduled league, the higher-ranked tennis player, or the "under" in a low-total game are typical places to see it.

The vig at -295

If both sides of a two-way market were priced at -295, the implied probabilities would add up to 49.37% above 100%. That excess is the overround, or vig; as a share of stakes it is a 33.05% margin for the bookmaker. Removing it leaves fair odds of 2.00 decimal ( +100) on each side. Use the devig calculator to do the same for any market.

-295 on a betting exchange

Exchanges charge commission on net winnings, so the price you see is not the price you get. At 2% commission -295 is worth 1.332 decimal (-301 American); at 5% it drops to 1.322 (-311). Those are the bookmaker prices you would need to beat.

Effective odds on an exchange
CommissionEffective decimalEffective AmericanBreak-even
2%1.332-30175.06%
5%1.322-31175.64%

Same price in other formats

Same price in other formats

Nearby prices

Nearby prices

  • -305 · 1.33 · 75.3%
  • -300 · 1.33 · 75.0%
  • -297 · 1.34 · 74.8%
  • -296 · 1.34 · 74.7%
  • -294 · 1.34 · 74.6%
  • -293 · 1.34 · 74.6%
  • -290 · 1.34 · 74.4%
  • -285 · 1.35 · 74.0%

Frequently asked questions

What does -295 mean in betting?

-295 is an American price. Positive numbers show the profit on a 100 stake; negative numbers show the stake needed to win 100. At -295 the implied probability is 74.68% and a 100 stake returns 133.90.

What is -295 in decimal odds?

-295 converts to 1.339 in decimal odds (usually shown as 1.34). Decimal odds are the total return per unit staked, so multiply your stake by 1.339 to get the return.

What is -295 as a fraction?

-295 is 20/59 in fractional odds, the traditional bookmaker notation where the top number is profit and the bottom number is stake.

How much do I win on a 100 bet at -295?

A 100 stake at -295 wins 33.90 in profit and returns 133.90 including the stake. To win exactly 100 you would stake 295.00.

What win rate do I need at -295?

The break-even win rate equals the implied probability, 74.68%. Winning more often than that at this price is profitable over the long run; winning less often loses money.