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+231 Odds Explained

Decimal
3.31
American
+231
Fractional
231/100
Implied probability
30.21%
Polymarket
30¢
$100 wins
231.00
Inputs
Results
Decimal odds3.310
American
+231
Fractional
231/100
Implied probability
30.21%
Polymarket
30¢
Profit
231.00
Total return
331.00

3.310 decimal, +231 American, 30.21% implied probability

American odds of +231 mean

a 100 stake wins 231

. In decimal notation that is 3.31, in fractional notation 231/100, and the implied probability is 30.21%. On a prediction market the same price is a 30¢ share.

What +231 pays

A 100 stake at +231 returns 331.00 in total: your 100 back plus 231.00 profit. To win exactly 100 you would stake 43.29. The table covers the stakes people actually use.

Payout by stake
StakeProfitTotal return
1023.1033.10
2557.7582.75
50115.50165.50
100231.00331.00
5001,155.001,655.00
1,0002,310.003,310.00

Break-even and long-run results

The implied probability of +231 is 30.21%, and that number is also the break-even win rate: win more often than 30.21% of the time at this price and you profit in the long run, win less often and you lose. The table shows the return on stake at a few win rates, including the break-even rate itself.

Return on stake by long-run win rate
Win rateReturn on stake
30%-0.7%
50%65.5%
55%82.1%
60%98.6%
65%115.2%

At 30.21% implied, +231 is a moderate underdog. A bet here wins less than half the time by the bookmaker's reckoning, but each win pays 231.00 per 100. Draws in soccer, the second favourite in a three-horse race and road teams in close games are typical residents of this range.

The vig at +231

If both sides of a two-way market were priced at +231, the implied probabilities would add up to -39.58% above 100%. That excess is the overround, or vig; as a share of stakes it is a -65.50% margin for the bookmaker. Removing it leaves fair odds of 2.00 decimal ( +100) on each side. Use the devig calculator to do the same for any market.

+231 on a betting exchange

Exchanges charge commission on net winnings, so the price you see is not the price you get. At 2% commission +231 is worth 3.264 decimal (+226 American); at 5% it drops to 3.195 (+219). Those are the bookmaker prices you would need to beat.

Effective odds on an exchange
CommissionEffective decimalEffective AmericanBreak-even
2%3.264+22630.64%
5%3.195+21931.30%

Same price in other formats

Nearby prices

Nearby prices

  • +221 · 3.21 · 31.2%
  • +226 · 3.26 · 30.7%
  • +229 · 3.29 · 30.4%
  • +230 · 3.30 · 30.3%
  • +232 · 3.32 · 30.1%
  • +233 · 3.33 · 30.0%
  • +236 · 3.36 · 29.8%
  • +241 · 3.41 · 29.3%

Frequently asked questions

What does +231 mean in betting?

+231 is an American price. Positive numbers show the profit on a 100 stake; negative numbers show the stake needed to win 100. At +231 the implied probability is 30.21% and a 100 stake returns 331.00.

What is +231 in decimal odds?

+231 converts to 3.310 in decimal odds (usually shown as 3.31). Decimal odds are the total return per unit staked, so multiply your stake by 3.310 to get the return.

What is +231 as a fraction?

+231 is 231/100 in fractional odds, the traditional bookmaker notation where the top number is profit and the bottom number is stake.

How much do I win on a 100 bet at +231?

A 100 stake at +231 wins 231.00 in profit and returns 331.00 including the stake. To win exactly 100 you would stake 43.29.

What win rate do I need at +231?

The break-even win rate equals the implied probability, 30.21%. Winning more often than that at this price is profitable over the long run; winning less often loses money.