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+263 Odds Explained

Decimal
3.63
American
+263
Fractional
263/100
Implied probability
27.55%
Polymarket
28¢
$100 wins
263.00
Inputs
Results
Decimal odds3.630
American
+263
Fractional
263/100
Implied probability
27.55%
Polymarket
28¢
Profit
263.00
Total return
363.00

3.630 decimal, +263 American, 27.55% implied probability

The price +263 converts to 3.63 decimal odds and 263/100 fractional odds. Read as a probability it says the bookmaker prices this outcome at 27.55%, which is the share of the time you would need to win just to break even. A prediction market would quote the same chance as 28¢.

What +263 pays

A 100 stake at +263 returns 363.00 in total: your 100 back plus 263.00 profit. To win exactly 100 you would stake 38.02. The table covers the stakes people actually use.

Payout by stake
StakeProfitTotal return
1026.3036.30
2565.7590.75
50131.50181.50
100263.00363.00
5001,315.001,815.00
1,0002,630.003,630.00

Break-even and long-run results

The implied probability of +263 is 27.55%, and that number is also the break-even win rate: win more often than 27.55% of the time at this price and you profit in the long run, win less often and you lose. The table shows the return on stake at a few win rates, including the break-even rate itself.

Return on stake by long-run win rate
Win rateReturn on stake
28%1.6%
50%81.5%
55%99.7%
60%117.8%
65%136.0%

+263 is an underdog price: the bookmaker gives this outcome an implied chance of 27.55%, and the payout of 263.00 on 100 reflects it. Underdogs in this band are where public money and bookmaker margin often disagree, so it pays to compare prices across books before taking one.

The vig at +263

If both sides of a two-way market were priced at +263, the implied probabilities would add up to -44.90% above 100%. That excess is the overround, or vig; as a share of stakes it is a -81.50% margin for the bookmaker. Removing it leaves fair odds of 2.00 decimal ( +100) on each side. Use the devig calculator to do the same for any market.

+263 on a betting exchange

Exchanges charge commission on net winnings, so the price you see is not the price you get. At 2% commission +263 is worth 3.577 decimal (+258 American); at 5% it drops to 3.499 (+250). Those are the bookmaker prices you would need to beat.

Effective odds on an exchange
CommissionEffective decimalEffective AmericanBreak-even
2%3.577+25827.95%
5%3.499+25028.58%

Same price in other formats

Nearby prices

Nearby prices

  • +253 · 3.53 · 28.3%
  • +258 · 3.58 · 27.9%
  • +261 · 3.61 · 27.7%
  • +262 · 3.62 · 27.6%
  • +264 · 3.64 · 27.5%
  • +265 · 3.65 · 27.4%
  • +268 · 3.68 · 27.2%
  • +273 · 3.73 · 26.8%

Frequently asked questions

What does +263 mean in betting?

+263 is an American price. Positive numbers show the profit on a 100 stake; negative numbers show the stake needed to win 100. At +263 the implied probability is 27.55% and a 100 stake returns 363.00.

What is +263 in decimal odds?

+263 converts to 3.630 in decimal odds (usually shown as 3.63). Decimal odds are the total return per unit staked, so multiply your stake by 3.630 to get the return.

What is +263 as a fraction?

+263 is 263/100 in fractional odds, the traditional bookmaker notation where the top number is profit and the bottom number is stake.

How much do I win on a 100 bet at +263?

A 100 stake at +263 wins 263.00 in profit and returns 363.00 including the stake. To win exactly 100 you would stake 38.02.

What win rate do I need at +263?

The break-even win rate equals the implied probability, 27.55%. Winning more often than that at this price is profitable over the long run; winning less often loses money.