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+323 Odds Explained

Decimal
4.23
American
+323
Fractional
323/100
Implied probability
23.64%
Polymarket
24¢
$100 wins
323.00
Inputs
Results
Decimal odds4.230
American
+323
Fractional
323/100
Implied probability
23.64%
Polymarket
24¢
Profit
323.00
Total return
423.00

4.230 decimal, +323 American, 23.64% implied probability

The price +323 converts to 4.23 decimal odds and 323/100 fractional odds. Read as a probability it says the bookmaker prices this outcome at 23.64%, which is the share of the time you would need to win just to break even. A prediction market would quote the same chance as 24¢.

What +323 pays

A 100 stake at +323 returns 423.00 in total: your 100 back plus 323.00 profit. To win exactly 100 you would stake 30.96. The table covers the stakes people actually use.

Payout by stake
StakeProfitTotal return
1032.3042.30
2580.75105.75
50161.50211.50
100323.00423.00
5001,615.002,115.00
1,0003,230.004,230.00

Break-even and long-run results

The implied probability of +323 is 23.64%, and that number is also the break-even win rate: win more often than 23.64% of the time at this price and you profit in the long run, win less often and you lose. The table shows the return on stake at a few win rates, including the break-even rate itself.

Return on stake by long-run win rate
Win rateReturn on stake
24%1.5%
50%111.5%
55%132.7%
60%153.8%
65%175.0%

With an implied chance of 23.64%, a bet at +323 is expected to lose most of the time and to pay 323.00 on 100 when it does not. Outright markets, correct scores and big upsets are where these prices appear, and they are the prices bookmakers shade the hardest.

The vig at +323

If both sides of a two-way market were priced at +323, the implied probabilities would add up to -52.72% above 100%. That excess is the overround, or vig; as a share of stakes it is a -111.50% margin for the bookmaker. Removing it leaves fair odds of 2.00 decimal ( +100) on each side. Use the devig calculator to do the same for any market.

+323 on a betting exchange

Exchanges charge commission on net winnings, so the price you see is not the price you get. At 2% commission +323 is worth 4.165 decimal (+317 American); at 5% it drops to 4.069 (+307). Those are the bookmaker prices you would need to beat.

Effective odds on an exchange
CommissionEffective decimalEffective AmericanBreak-even
2%4.165+31724.01%
5%4.069+30724.58%

Same price in other formats

Nearby prices

Nearby prices

  • +313 · 4.13 · 24.2%
  • +318 · 4.18 · 23.9%
  • +321 · 4.21 · 23.8%
  • +322 · 4.22 · 23.7%
  • +324 · 4.24 · 23.6%
  • +325 · 4.25 · 23.5%
  • +328 · 4.28 · 23.4%
  • +333 · 4.33 · 23.1%

Frequently asked questions

What does +323 mean in betting?

+323 is an American price. Positive numbers show the profit on a 100 stake; negative numbers show the stake needed to win 100. At +323 the implied probability is 23.64% and a 100 stake returns 423.00.

What is +323 in decimal odds?

+323 converts to 4.230 in decimal odds (usually shown as 4.23). Decimal odds are the total return per unit staked, so multiply your stake by 4.230 to get the return.

What is +323 as a fraction?

+323 is 323/100 in fractional odds, the traditional bookmaker notation where the top number is profit and the bottom number is stake.

How much do I win on a 100 bet at +323?

A 100 stake at +323 wins 323.00 in profit and returns 423.00 including the stake. To win exactly 100 you would stake 30.96.

What win rate do I need at +323?

The break-even win rate equals the implied probability, 23.64%. Winning more often than that at this price is profitable over the long run; winning less often loses money.