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+474 Odds Explained

Decimal
5.74
American
+474
Fractional
237/50
Implied probability
17.42%
Polymarket
17¢
$100 wins
474.00
Inputs
Results
Decimal odds5.740
American
+474
Fractional
237/50
Implied probability
17.42%
Polymarket
17¢
Profit
474.00
Total return
574.00

5.740 decimal, +474 American, 17.42% implied probability

+474 is an American price:

the plus sign marks an underdog, and the number is the profit on a 100 stake

. Every other format describes the same chance: 5.74 decimal, 237/50 fractional, 17.42% implied probability, 17¢ on Polymarket.

What +474 pays

A 100 stake at +474 returns 574.00 in total: your 100 back plus 474.00 profit. To win exactly 100 you would stake 21.10. The table covers the stakes people actually use.

Payout by stake
StakeProfitTotal return
1047.4057.40
25118.50143.50
50237.00287.00
100474.00574.00
5002,370.002,870.00
1,0004,740.005,740.00

Break-even and long-run results

The implied probability of +474 is 17.42%, and that number is also the break-even win rate: win more often than 17.42% of the time at this price and you profit in the long run, win less often and you lose. The table shows the return on stake at a few win rates, including the break-even rate itself.

Return on stake by long-run win rate
Win rateReturn on stake
17%-2.4%
50%187.0%
55%215.7%
60%244.4%
65%273.1%

+474 is a longshot. The bookmaker prices the outcome at 17.42%, and the payout of 474.00 per 100 staked is the compensation for how rarely it lands. Longshots carry more margin than any other part of the market, which is why devigging methods disagree most at prices like this one.

The vig at +474

If both sides of a two-way market were priced at +474, the implied probabilities would add up to -65.16% above 100%. That excess is the overround, or vig; as a share of stakes it is a -187.00% margin for the bookmaker. Removing it leaves fair odds of 2.00 decimal ( +100) on each side. Use the devig calculator to do the same for any market.

+474 on a betting exchange

Exchanges charge commission on net winnings, so the price you see is not the price you get. At 2% commission +474 is worth 5.645 decimal (+465 American); at 5% it drops to 5.503 (+450). Those are the bookmaker prices you would need to beat.

Effective odds on an exchange
CommissionEffective decimalEffective AmericanBreak-even
2%5.645+46517.71%
5%5.503+45018.17%

Same price in other formats

Nearby prices

Nearby prices

  • +464 · 5.64 · 17.7%
  • +469 · 5.69 · 17.6%
  • +472 · 5.72 · 17.5%
  • +473 · 5.73 · 17.5%
  • +475 · 5.75 · 17.4%
  • +476 · 5.76 · 17.4%
  • +479 · 5.79 · 17.3%
  • +484 · 5.84 · 17.1%

Frequently asked questions

What does +474 mean in betting?

+474 is an American price. Positive numbers show the profit on a 100 stake; negative numbers show the stake needed to win 100. At +474 the implied probability is 17.42% and a 100 stake returns 574.00.

What is +474 in decimal odds?

+474 converts to 5.740 in decimal odds (usually shown as 5.74). Decimal odds are the total return per unit staked, so multiply your stake by 5.740 to get the return.

What is +474 as a fraction?

+474 is 237/50 in fractional odds, the traditional bookmaker notation where the top number is profit and the bottom number is stake.

How much do I win on a 100 bet at +474?

A 100 stake at +474 wins 474.00 in profit and returns 574.00 including the stake. To win exactly 100 you would stake 21.10.

What win rate do I need at +474?

The break-even win rate equals the implied probability, 17.42%. Winning more often than that at this price is profitable over the long run; winning less often loses money.