10¢ Polymarket Price Explained
- Decimal
- 10.00
- American
- +900
- Fractional
- 9/1
- Implied probability
- 10.00%
- Polymarket
- 10¢
- $100 wins
- 900.00
- American
- +900
- Fractional
- 9/1
- Implied probability
- 10.00%
- Polymarket
- 10¢
- Profit
- 900.00
- Total return
- 1,000.00
10.000 decimal, +900 American, 10.00% implied probability
Buying at 10¢ means risking 10¢ to win the rest of a dollar. That is a payout ratio of 10.00 (decimal odds) or +900 in American notation, and it implies an implied probability of 10.00% probability before fees.
What a 10¢ share pays
Each share pays $1.00 on a win, so the profit per share is a dollar minus the price. On 100 dollars' worth of shares the return is 1,000.00, a profit of 900.00.
| Stake | Profit | Total return |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 90.00 | 100.00 |
| 25 | 225.00 | 250.00 |
| 50 | 450.00 | 500.00 |
| 100 | 900.00 | 1,000.00 |
| 500 | 4,500.00 | 5,000.00 |
| 1,000 | 9,000.00 | 10,000.00 |
Break-even and long-run results
Because the price is a probability, the break-even rate is the price itself: 10.00%. If your own estimate of the outcome is higher than 10.00%, the share is value; if it is lower, it is not.
| Win rate | Return on stake |
|---|---|
| 10% | 0.0% |
| 50% | 400.0% |
| 55% | 450.0% |
| 60% | 500.0% |
| 65% | 550.0% |
A 10¢ share is a longshot: 10.00% by the market's estimate, paying 900.00 per 100. Thin order books at low prices mean the quoted price and the price you actually get can differ by several cents.
Converting 10¢ by hand
Treat the price as a probability: 10¢ is 10.00%. Decimal odds are one divided by that, 10.000, which bookmakers would display as 10.00. American odds follow from the decimal price: an underdog, so (10.000 − 1) × 100 gives +900. In fractional terms the closest traditional price is 9/1.
YES, NO and the spread
On a liquid market the YES and NO prices add up to about $1.00; at 10¢ the NO side should be near 90.00%. Anything above $1.00 in total is the spread, the prediction-market equivalent of a bookmaker's vig. Enter both sides in the Polymarket converter to measure it.
Fees and comparison with sportsbooks
Fees, where a market charges them, come off profit and work exactly like exchange commission. At 2% the share is worth 9.820 decimal, at 5% 9.550. A sportsbook offering better than the effective price beats the market.
| Commission | Effective decimal | Effective American | Break-even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | 9.820 | +882 | 10.18% |
| 5% | 9.550 | +855 | 10.47% |
Same price in other formats
Nearby prices
Nearby prices
Frequently asked questions
What does a 10¢ price mean on Polymarket?
A share costs 10¢ and pays $1.00 if the market resolves in its favour, so the price is the market's probability: 10.00%. In sportsbook terms it is 10.00 decimal or +900 American odds.
How do I convert 10¢ to decimal odds?
Divide 1 by the price in dollars: 1 / 10¢ gives 10.000, shown as 10.00.
What is the NO price when YES is 10¢?
On a liquid market the NO side is about $1.00 minus the YES price, so roughly 90.00% in cents. The difference from exactly $1.00 in total is the spread.
Is 10¢ better than the sportsbook price?
Compare after fees. At 10¢ the share is worth 10.00 decimal before fees and 9.820 at a 2% fee. If a sportsbook offers more than that on the same outcome, the sportsbook is the better price.
What do I win per 100 dollars at 10¢?
100 dollars buys 100 / 10¢ shares, which pay 1,000.00 in total on a win: a profit of 900.00.