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67¢ Polymarket Price Explained

Decimal
1.49
American
-203
Fractional
33/67
Implied probability
67.00%
Polymarket
67¢
$100 wins
49.25
Inputs
Results
Decimal odds1.493
American
-203
Fractional
33/67
Implied probability
67.00%
Polymarket
67¢
Profit
49.25
Total return
149.25

1.493 decimal, -203 American, 67.00% implied probability

Buying at 67¢ means risking 67¢ to win the rest of a dollar. That is a payout ratio of 1.49 (decimal odds) or -203 in American notation, and it implies an implied probability of 67.00% probability before fees.

What a 67¢ share pays

Each share pays $1.00 on a win, so the profit per share is a dollar minus the price. On 100 dollars' worth of shares the return is 149.25, a profit of 49.25.

Payout by stake
StakeProfitTotal return
104.9314.93
2512.3137.31
5024.6374.63
10049.25149.25
500246.27746.27
1,000492.541,492.54

Break-even and long-run results

Because the price is a probability, the break-even rate is the price itself: 67.00%. If your own estimate of the outcome is higher than 67.00%, the share is value; if it is lower, it is not.

Return on stake by long-run win rate
Win rateReturn on stake
50%-25.4%
55%-17.9%
60%-10.4%
65%-3.0%
67%0.0%

67¢ is a favourite's price on a prediction market, implying 67.00%. Compare it with a sportsbook's price on the same event: if the book offers better than -203 on the same side, or better than the complement on the other side, one of the two venues is mispriced.

Converting 67¢ by hand

Treat the price as a probability: 67¢ is 67.00%. Decimal odds are one divided by that, 1.493, which bookmakers would display as 1.49. American odds follow from the decimal price: a favourite, so −100 divided by (1.493 − 1) gives -203. In fractional terms the closest traditional price is 33/67.

YES, NO and the spread

On a liquid market the YES and NO prices add up to about $1.00; at 67¢ the NO side should be near 33.00%. Anything above $1.00 in total is the spread, the prediction-market equivalent of a bookmaker's vig. Enter both sides in the Polymarket converter to measure it.

Fees and comparison with sportsbooks

Fees, where a market charges them, come off profit and work exactly like exchange commission. At 2% the share is worth 1.483 decimal, at 5% 1.468. A sportsbook offering better than the effective price beats the market.

Effective odds on an exchange
CommissionEffective decimalEffective AmericanBreak-even
2%1.483-20767.45%
5%1.468-21468.12%

Same price in other formats

Same price in other formats

Nearby prices

Nearby prices

  • 62¢ · 1.61 · 62.0%
  • 65¢ · 1.54 · 65.0%
  • 66¢ · 1.52 · 66.0%
  • 68¢ · 1.47 · 68.0%
  • 69¢ · 1.45 · 69.0%
  • 72¢ · 1.39 · 72.0%

Frequently asked questions

What does a 67¢ price mean on Polymarket?

A share costs 67¢ and pays $1.00 if the market resolves in its favour, so the price is the market's probability: 67.00%. In sportsbook terms it is 1.49 decimal or -203 American odds.

How do I convert 67¢ to decimal odds?

Divide 1 by the price in dollars: 1 / 67¢ gives 1.493, shown as 1.49.

What is the NO price when YES is 67¢?

On a liquid market the NO side is about $1.00 minus the YES price, so roughly 33.00% in cents. The difference from exactly $1.00 in total is the spread.

Is 67¢ better than the sportsbook price?

Compare after fees. At 67¢ the share is worth 1.49 decimal before fees and 1.483 at a 2% fee. If a sportsbook offers more than that on the same outcome, the sportsbook is the better price.

What do I win per 100 dollars at 67¢?

100 dollars buys 100 / 67¢ shares, which pay 149.25 in total on a win: a profit of 49.25.