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-102 Odds Explained

Decimal
1.98
American
-102
Fractional
50/51
Implied probability
50.50%
Polymarket
50¢
$100 wins
98.04
Inputs
Results
Decimal odds1.980
American
-102
Fractional
50/51
Implied probability
50.50%
Polymarket
50¢
Profit
98.04
Total return
198.04

1.980 decimal, -102 American, 50.50% implied probability

-102 is an American price:

the minus sign marks a favourite, and the number is the stake needed to win 100

. Every other format describes the same chance: 1.98 decimal, 50/51 fractional, 50.50% implied probability, 50¢ on Polymarket.

What -102 pays

A 100 stake at -102 returns 198.04 in total: your 100 back plus 98.04 profit. To win exactly 100 you would stake 102.00. The table covers the stakes people actually use.

Payout by stake
StakeProfitTotal return
109.8019.80
2524.5149.51
5049.0299.02
10098.04198.04
500490.20990.20
1,000980.391,980.39

Break-even and long-run results

The implied probability of -102 is 50.50%, and that number is also the break-even win rate: win more often than 50.50% of the time at this price and you profit in the long run, win less often and you lose. The table shows the return on stake at a few win rates, including the break-even rate itself.

Return on stake by long-run win rate
Win rateReturn on stake
50%-1.0%
55%8.9%
60%18.8%
65%28.7%

An implied probability of 50.50% makes -102 a near-even price. This is the natural home of handicap and over/under markets, where the bookmaker adjusts the line rather than the price and both sides are quoted a shade under 2.00 decimal.

The vig at -102

If both sides of a two-way market were priced at -102, the implied probabilities would add up to 0.99% above 100%. That excess is the overround, or vig; as a share of stakes it is a 0.98% margin for the bookmaker. Removing it leaves fair odds of 2.00 decimal ( +100) on each side. Use the devig calculator to do the same for any market.

-102 on a betting exchange

Exchanges charge commission on net winnings, so the price you see is not the price you get. At 2% commission -102 is worth 1.961 decimal (-104 American); at 5% it drops to 1.931 (-107). Those are the bookmaker prices you would need to beat.

Effective odds on an exchange
CommissionEffective decimalEffective AmericanBreak-even
2%1.961-10451.00%
5%1.931-10751.78%

Same price in other formats

Same price in other formats

Nearby prices

Nearby prices

  • -112 · 1.89 · 52.8%
  • -107 · 1.93 · 51.7%
  • -104 · 1.96 · 51.0%
  • -103 · 1.97 · 50.7%
  • -101 · 1.99 · 50.2%
  • +100 · 2.00 · 50.0%
  • +103 · 2.03 · 49.3%
  • +108 · 2.08 · 48.1%

Frequently asked questions

What does -102 mean in betting?

-102 is an American price. Positive numbers show the profit on a 100 stake; negative numbers show the stake needed to win 100. At -102 the implied probability is 50.50% and a 100 stake returns 198.04.

What is -102 in decimal odds?

-102 converts to 1.980 in decimal odds (usually shown as 1.98). Decimal odds are the total return per unit staked, so multiply your stake by 1.980 to get the return.

What is -102 as a fraction?

-102 is 50/51 in fractional odds, the traditional bookmaker notation where the top number is profit and the bottom number is stake.

How much do I win on a 100 bet at -102?

A 100 stake at -102 wins 98.04 in profit and returns 198.04 including the stake. To win exactly 100 you would stake 102.00.

What win rate do I need at -102?

The break-even win rate equals the implied probability, 50.50%. Winning more often than that at this price is profitable over the long run; winning less often loses money.