-156 Odds Explained
- Decimal
- 1.64
- American
- -156
- Fractional
- 25/39
- Implied probability
- 60.94%
- Polymarket
- 61¢
- $100 wins
- 64.10
- American
- -156
- Fractional
- 25/39
- Implied probability
- 60.94%
- Polymarket
- 61¢
- Profit
- 64.10
- Total return
- 164.10
1.641 decimal, -156 American, 60.94% implied probability
American odds of -156 mean
you risk 156 to win 100
. In decimal notation that is 1.64, in fractional notation 25/39, and the implied probability is 60.94%. On a prediction market the same price is a 61¢ share.
What -156 pays
A 100 stake at -156 returns 164.10 in total: your 100 back plus 64.10 profit. To win exactly 100 you would stake 156.00. The table covers the stakes people actually use.
| Stake | Profit | Total return |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 6.41 | 16.41 |
| 25 | 16.03 | 41.03 |
| 50 | 32.05 | 82.05 |
| 100 | 64.10 | 164.10 |
| 500 | 320.51 | 820.51 |
| 1,000 | 641.03 | 1,641.03 |
Break-even and long-run results
The implied probability of -156 is 60.94%, and that number is also the break-even win rate: win more often than 60.94% of the time at this price and you profit in the long run, win less often and you lose. The table shows the return on stake at a few win rates, including the break-even rate itself.
| Win rate | Return on stake |
|---|---|
| 50% | -17.9% |
| 55% | -9.7% |
| 60% | -1.5% |
| 61% | 0.1% |
| 65% | 6.7% |
-156 marks a clear favourite without being a lock: the implied chance is 60.94%, so the bookmaker expects this outcome roughly two times in three. Moneylines on the better team in an evenly scheduled league, the higher-ranked tennis player, or the "under" in a low-total game are typical places to see it.
The vig at -156
If both sides of a two-way market were priced at -156, the implied probabilities would add up to 21.88% above 100%. That excess is the overround, or vig; as a share of stakes it is a 17.95% margin for the bookmaker. Removing it leaves fair odds of 2.00 decimal ( +100) on each side. Use the devig calculator to do the same for any market.
-156 on a betting exchange
Exchanges charge commission on net winnings, so the price you see is not the price you get. At 2% commission -156 is worth 1.628 decimal (-159 American); at 5% it drops to 1.609 (-164). Those are the bookmaker prices you would need to beat.
| Commission | Effective decimal | Effective American | Break-even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | 1.628 | -159 | 61.42% |
| 5% | 1.609 | -164 | 62.15% |
Same price in other formats
Nearby prices
Nearby prices
Frequently asked questions
What does -156 mean in betting?
-156 is an American price. Positive numbers show the profit on a 100 stake; negative numbers show the stake needed to win 100. At -156 the implied probability is 60.94% and a 100 stake returns 164.10.
What is -156 in decimal odds?
-156 converts to 1.641 in decimal odds (usually shown as 1.64). Decimal odds are the total return per unit staked, so multiply your stake by 1.641 to get the return.
What is -156 as a fraction?
-156 is 25/39 in fractional odds, the traditional bookmaker notation where the top number is profit and the bottom number is stake.
How much do I win on a 100 bet at -156?
A 100 stake at -156 wins 64.10 in profit and returns 164.10 including the stake. To win exactly 100 you would stake 156.00.
What win rate do I need at -156?
The break-even win rate equals the implied probability, 60.94%. Winning more often than that at this price is profitable over the long run; winning less often loses money.