-1950 Odds Explained
- Decimal
- 1.05
- American
- -1,950
- Fractional
- 2/39
- Implied probability
- 95.12%
- Polymarket
- 95¢
- $100 wins
- 5.13
- American
- -1,950
- Fractional
- 2/39
- Implied probability
- 95.12%
- Polymarket
- 95¢
- Profit
- 5.13
- Total return
- 105.13
1.051 decimal, -1,950 American, 95.12% implied probability
-1950 is an American price:
the minus sign marks a favourite, and the number is the stake needed to win 100
. Every other format describes the same chance: 1.05 decimal, 2/39 fractional, 95.12% implied probability, 95¢ on Polymarket.
What -1950 pays
A 100 stake at -1950 returns 105.13 in total: your 100 back plus 5.13 profit. To win exactly 100 you would stake 1,950.00. The table covers the stakes people actually use.
| Stake | Profit | Total return |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.51 | 10.51 |
| 25 | 1.28 | 26.28 |
| 50 | 2.56 | 52.56 |
| 100 | 5.13 | 105.13 |
| 500 | 25.64 | 525.64 |
| 1,000 | 51.28 | 1,051.28 |
Break-even and long-run results
The implied probability of -1950 is 95.12%, and that number is also the break-even win rate: win more often than 95.12% of the time at this price and you profit in the long run, win less often and you lose. The table shows the return on stake at a few win rates, including the break-even rate itself.
| Win rate | Return on stake |
|---|---|
| 50% | -47.4% |
| 55% | -42.2% |
| 60% | -36.9% |
| 65% | -31.7% |
| 95% | -0.1% |
At 95.12% this is a heavy favourite. Prices this short appear when one side is expected to win comfortably: a top seed against a qualifier, a strong home team against a relegation candidate, or a moneyline in a game with a double-digit spread. The catch is the payout. You need to win more than 95.12% of these bets just to stand still, and one loss wipes out several wins.
The vig at -1950
If both sides of a two-way market were priced at -1950, the implied probabilities would add up to 90.24% above 100%. That excess is the overround, or vig; as a share of stakes it is a 47.44% margin for the bookmaker. Removing it leaves fair odds of 2.00 decimal ( +100) on each side. Use the devig calculator to do the same for any market.
-1950 on a betting exchange
Exchanges charge commission on net winnings, so the price you see is not the price you get. At 2% commission -1950 is worth 1.050 decimal (-1,990 American); at 5% it drops to 1.049 (-2,053). Those are the bookmaker prices you would need to beat.
| Commission | Effective decimal | Effective American | Break-even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | 1.050 | -1,990 | 95.21% |
| 5% | 1.049 | -2,053 | 95.35% |
Same price in other formats
Nearby prices
Nearby prices
Frequently asked questions
What does -1950 mean in betting?
-1950 is an American price. Positive numbers show the profit on a 100 stake; negative numbers show the stake needed to win 100. At -1950 the implied probability is 95.12% and a 100 stake returns 105.13.
What is -1950 in decimal odds?
-1950 converts to 1.051 in decimal odds (usually shown as 1.05). Decimal odds are the total return per unit staked, so multiply your stake by 1.051 to get the return.
What is -1950 as a fraction?
-1950 is 2/39 in fractional odds, the traditional bookmaker notation where the top number is profit and the bottom number is stake.
How much do I win on a 100 bet at -1950?
A 100 stake at -1950 wins 5.13 in profit and returns 105.13 including the stake. To win exactly 100 you would stake 1,950.00.
What win rate do I need at -1950?
The break-even win rate equals the implied probability, 95.12%. Winning more often than that at this price is profitable over the long run; winning less often loses money.