Skip to content

-2200 Odds Explained

Decimal
1.05
American
-2,200
Fractional
1/22
Implied probability
95.65%
Polymarket
96¢
$100 wins
4.55
Inputs
Results
Decimal odds1.045
American
-2,200
Fractional
1/22
Implied probability
95.65%
Polymarket
96¢
Profit
4.55
Total return
104.55

1.045 decimal, -2,200 American, 95.65% implied probability

American odds of -2200 mean

you risk 2200 to win 100

. In decimal notation that is 1.05, in fractional notation 1/22, and the implied probability is 95.65%. On a prediction market the same price is a 96¢ share.

What -2200 pays

A 100 stake at -2200 returns 104.55 in total: your 100 back plus 4.55 profit. To win exactly 100 you would stake 2,200.00. The table covers the stakes people actually use.

Payout by stake
StakeProfitTotal return
100.4510.45
251.1426.14
502.2752.27
1004.55104.55
50022.73522.73
1,00045.451,045.45

Break-even and long-run results

The implied probability of -2200 is 95.65%, and that number is also the break-even win rate: win more often than 95.65% of the time at this price and you profit in the long run, win less often and you lose. The table shows the return on stake at a few win rates, including the break-even rate itself.

Return on stake by long-run win rate
Win rateReturn on stake
50%-47.7%
55%-42.5%
60%-37.3%
65%-32.0%
96%0.4%

A price of -2200 is deep odds-on. Bookmakers quote it when an outcome is close to a formality, and the margin they take is proportionally large at this end of the market. Sharp bettors tend to look at the other side of such a market, or at the exchange, where the same favourite is often available a tick or two better.

The vig at -2200

If both sides of a two-way market were priced at -2200, the implied probabilities would add up to 91.30% above 100%. That excess is the overround, or vig; as a share of stakes it is a 47.73% margin for the bookmaker. Removing it leaves fair odds of 2.00 decimal ( +100) on each side. Use the devig calculator to do the same for any market.

-2200 on a betting exchange

Exchanges charge commission on net winnings, so the price you see is not the price you get. At 2% commission -2200 is worth 1.045 decimal (-2,245 American); at 5% it drops to 1.043 (-2,316). Those are the bookmaker prices you would need to beat.

Effective odds on an exchange
CommissionEffective decimalEffective AmericanBreak-even
2%1.045-2,24595.74%
5%1.043-2,31695.86%

Same price in other formats

Same price in other formats

Nearby prices

Nearby prices

Frequently asked questions

What does -2200 mean in betting?

-2200 is an American price. Positive numbers show the profit on a 100 stake; negative numbers show the stake needed to win 100. At -2200 the implied probability is 95.65% and a 100 stake returns 104.55.

What is -2200 in decimal odds?

-2200 converts to 1.045 in decimal odds (usually shown as 1.05). Decimal odds are the total return per unit staked, so multiply your stake by 1.045 to get the return.

What is -2200 as a fraction?

-2200 is 1/22 in fractional odds, the traditional bookmaker notation where the top number is profit and the bottom number is stake.

How much do I win on a 100 bet at -2200?

A 100 stake at -2200 wins 4.55 in profit and returns 104.55 including the stake. To win exactly 100 you would stake 2,200.00.

What win rate do I need at -2200?

The break-even win rate equals the implied probability, 95.65%. Winning more often than that at this price is profitable over the long run; winning less often loses money.