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-216 Odds Explained

Decimal
1.46
American
-216
Fractional
25/54
Implied probability
68.35%
Polymarket
68¢
$100 wins
46.30
Inputs
Results
Decimal odds1.463
American
-216
Fractional
25/54
Implied probability
68.35%
Polymarket
68¢
Profit
46.30
Total return
146.30

1.463 decimal, -216 American, 68.35% implied probability

The price -216 converts to 1.46 decimal odds and 25/54 fractional odds. Read as a probability it says the bookmaker prices this outcome at 68.35%, which is the share of the time you would need to win just to break even. A prediction market would quote the same chance as 68¢.

What -216 pays

A 100 stake at -216 returns 146.30 in total: your 100 back plus 46.30 profit. To win exactly 100 you would stake 216.00. The table covers the stakes people actually use.

Payout by stake
StakeProfitTotal return
104.6314.63
2511.5736.57
5023.1573.15
10046.30146.30
500231.48731.48
1,000462.961,462.96

Break-even and long-run results

The implied probability of -216 is 68.35%, and that number is also the break-even win rate: win more often than 68.35% of the time at this price and you profit in the long run, win less often and you lose. The table shows the return on stake at a few win rates, including the break-even rate itself.

Return on stake by long-run win rate
Win rateReturn on stake
50%-26.9%
55%-19.5%
60%-12.2%
65%-4.9%
68%-0.5%

With an implied probability of 68.35%, -216 is a moderate favourite. Prices in this band are where the bookmaker's margin is easiest to see: the opposite side of the market is usually priced a little longer than the fair line, and the two implied probabilities add up to more than 100%.

The vig at -216

If both sides of a two-way market were priced at -216, the implied probabilities would add up to 36.71% above 100%. That excess is the overround, or vig; as a share of stakes it is a 26.85% margin for the bookmaker. Removing it leaves fair odds of 2.00 decimal ( +100) on each side. Use the devig calculator to do the same for any market.

-216 on a betting exchange

Exchanges charge commission on net winnings, so the price you see is not the price you get. At 2% commission -216 is worth 1.454 decimal (-220 American); at 5% it drops to 1.440 (-227). Those are the bookmaker prices you would need to beat.

Effective odds on an exchange
CommissionEffective decimalEffective AmericanBreak-even
2%1.454-22068.79%
5%1.440-22769.45%

Same price in other formats

Same price in other formats

Nearby prices

Nearby prices

  • -226 · 1.44 · 69.3%
  • -221 · 1.45 · 68.8%
  • -218 · 1.46 · 68.6%
  • -217 · 1.46 · 68.5%
  • -215 · 1.47 · 68.3%
  • -214 · 1.47 · 68.2%
  • -211 · 1.47 · 67.8%
  • -206 · 1.49 · 67.3%

Frequently asked questions

What does -216 mean in betting?

-216 is an American price. Positive numbers show the profit on a 100 stake; negative numbers show the stake needed to win 100. At -216 the implied probability is 68.35% and a 100 stake returns 146.30.

What is -216 in decimal odds?

-216 converts to 1.463 in decimal odds (usually shown as 1.46). Decimal odds are the total return per unit staked, so multiply your stake by 1.463 to get the return.

What is -216 as a fraction?

-216 is 25/54 in fractional odds, the traditional bookmaker notation where the top number is profit and the bottom number is stake.

How much do I win on a 100 bet at -216?

A 100 stake at -216 wins 46.30 in profit and returns 146.30 including the stake. To win exactly 100 you would stake 216.00.

What win rate do I need at -216?

The break-even win rate equals the implied probability, 68.35%. Winning more often than that at this price is profitable over the long run; winning less often loses money.