-226 Odds Explained
- Decimal
- 1.44
- American
- -226
- Fractional
- 27/61
- Implied probability
- 69.33%
- Polymarket
- 69¢
- $100 wins
- 44.25
- The fraction shown is the closest simple fraction to the odds rounded to 3 decimals, not an exact match.
- American
- -226
- Fractional
- 27/61
- Implied probability
- 69.33%
- Polymarket
- 69¢
- Profit
- 44.25
- Total return
- 144.25
1.442 decimal, -226 American, 69.33% implied probability
American odds of -226 mean
you risk 226 to win 100
. In decimal notation that is 1.44, in fractional notation 27/61, and the implied probability is 69.33%. On a prediction market the same price is a 69¢ share.
What -226 pays
A 100 stake at -226 returns 144.25 in total: your 100 back plus 44.25 profit. To win exactly 100 you would stake 226.00. The table covers the stakes people actually use.
| Stake | Profit | Total return |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 4.42 | 14.42 |
| 25 | 11.06 | 36.06 |
| 50 | 22.12 | 72.12 |
| 100 | 44.25 | 144.25 |
| 500 | 221.24 | 721.24 |
| 1,000 | 442.48 | 1,442.48 |
Break-even and long-run results
The implied probability of -226 is 69.33%, and that number is also the break-even win rate: win more often than 69.33% of the time at this price and you profit in the long run, win less often and you lose. The table shows the return on stake at a few win rates, including the break-even rate itself.
| Win rate | Return on stake |
|---|---|
| 50% | -27.9% |
| 55% | -20.7% |
| 60% | -13.5% |
| 65% | -6.2% |
| 69% | -0.5% |
-226 marks a clear favourite without being a lock: the implied chance is 69.33%, so the bookmaker expects this outcome roughly two times in three. Moneylines on the better team in an evenly scheduled league, the higher-ranked tennis player, or the "under" in a low-total game are typical places to see it.
The vig at -226
If both sides of a two-way market were priced at -226, the implied probabilities would add up to 38.65% above 100%. That excess is the overround, or vig; as a share of stakes it is a 27.88% margin for the bookmaker. Removing it leaves fair odds of 2.00 decimal ( +100) on each side. Use the devig calculator to do the same for any market.
-226 on a betting exchange
Exchanges charge commission on net winnings, so the price you see is not the price you get. At 2% commission -226 is worth 1.434 decimal (-231 American); at 5% it drops to 1.420 (-238). Those are the bookmaker prices you would need to beat.
| Commission | Effective decimal | Effective American | Break-even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | 1.434 | -231 | 69.75% |
| 5% | 1.420 | -238 | 70.40% |
Same price in other formats
Nearby prices
Nearby prices
Frequently asked questions
What does -226 mean in betting?
-226 is an American price. Positive numbers show the profit on a 100 stake; negative numbers show the stake needed to win 100. At -226 the implied probability is 69.33% and a 100 stake returns 144.25.
What is -226 in decimal odds?
-226 converts to 1.442 in decimal odds (usually shown as 1.44). Decimal odds are the total return per unit staked, so multiply your stake by 1.442 to get the return.
What is -226 as a fraction?
-226 is 27/61 in fractional odds, the traditional bookmaker notation where the top number is profit and the bottom number is stake.
How much do I win on a 100 bet at -226?
A 100 stake at -226 wins 44.25 in profit and returns 144.25 including the stake. To win exactly 100 you would stake 226.00.
What win rate do I need at -226?
The break-even win rate equals the implied probability, 69.33%. Winning more often than that at this price is profitable over the long run; winning less often loses money.