-279 Odds Explained
- Decimal
- 1.36
- American
- -279
- Fractional
- 19/53
- Implied probability
- 73.61%
- Polymarket
- 74¢
- $100 wins
- 35.84
- The fraction shown is the closest simple fraction to the odds rounded to 3 decimals, not an exact match.
- American
- -279
- Fractional
- 19/53
- Implied probability
- 73.61%
- Polymarket
- 74¢
- Profit
- 35.84
- Total return
- 135.84
1.358 decimal, -279 American, 73.61% implied probability
The price -279 converts to 1.36 decimal odds and 19/53 fractional odds. Read as a probability it says the bookmaker prices this outcome at 73.61%, which is the share of the time you would need to win just to break even. A prediction market would quote the same chance as 74¢.
What -279 pays
A 100 stake at -279 returns 135.84 in total: your 100 back plus 35.84 profit. To win exactly 100 you would stake 279.00. The table covers the stakes people actually use.
| Stake | Profit | Total return |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 3.58 | 13.58 |
| 25 | 8.96 | 33.96 |
| 50 | 17.92 | 67.92 |
| 100 | 35.84 | 135.84 |
| 500 | 179.21 | 679.21 |
| 1,000 | 358.42 | 1,358.42 |
Break-even and long-run results
The implied probability of -279 is 73.61%, and that number is also the break-even win rate: win more often than 73.61% of the time at this price and you profit in the long run, win less often and you lose. The table shows the return on stake at a few win rates, including the break-even rate itself.
| Win rate | Return on stake |
|---|---|
| 50% | -32.1% |
| 55% | -25.3% |
| 60% | -18.5% |
| 65% | -11.7% |
| 74% | 0.5% |
-279 marks a clear favourite without being a lock: the implied chance is 73.61%, so the bookmaker expects this outcome roughly two times in three. Moneylines on the better team in an evenly scheduled league, the higher-ranked tennis player, or the "under" in a low-total game are typical places to see it.
The vig at -279
If both sides of a two-way market were priced at -279, the implied probabilities would add up to 47.23% above 100%. That excess is the overround, or vig; as a share of stakes it is a 32.08% margin for the bookmaker. Removing it leaves fair odds of 2.00 decimal ( +100) on each side. Use the devig calculator to do the same for any market.
-279 on a betting exchange
Exchanges charge commission on net winnings, so the price you see is not the price you get. At 2% commission -279 is worth 1.351 decimal (-285 American); at 5% it drops to 1.341 (-294). Those are the bookmaker prices you would need to beat.
| Commission | Effective decimal | Effective American | Break-even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | 1.351 | -285 | 74.01% |
| 5% | 1.341 | -294 | 74.60% |
Same price in other formats
Same price in other formats
Nearby prices
Nearby prices
Frequently asked questions
What does -279 mean in betting?
-279 is an American price. Positive numbers show the profit on a 100 stake; negative numbers show the stake needed to win 100. At -279 the implied probability is 73.61% and a 100 stake returns 135.84.
What is -279 in decimal odds?
-279 converts to 1.358 in decimal odds (usually shown as 1.36). Decimal odds are the total return per unit staked, so multiply your stake by 1.358 to get the return.
What is -279 as a fraction?
-279 is 19/53 in fractional odds, the traditional bookmaker notation where the top number is profit and the bottom number is stake.
How much do I win on a 100 bet at -279?
A 100 stake at -279 wins 35.84 in profit and returns 135.84 including the stake. To win exactly 100 you would stake 279.00.
What win rate do I need at -279?
The break-even win rate equals the implied probability, 73.61%. Winning more often than that at this price is profitable over the long run; winning less often loses money.