7¢ Polymarket Price Explained
- Decimal
- 14.29
- American
- +1,329
- Fractional
- 93/7
- Implied probability
- 7.00%
- Polymarket
- 7¢
- $100 wins
- 1,328.57
- American
- +1,329
- Fractional
- 93/7
- Implied probability
- 7.00%
- Polymarket
- 7¢
- Profit
- 1,328.57
- Total return
- 1,428.57
14.286 decimal, +1,329 American, 7.00% implied probability
7¢ is what a YES (or NO) share costs when the market thinks the outcome is 7.00% likely. Because a winning share pays a dollar, dividing one by the price gives the decimal odds, 14.29, and from there the American price of +1,329.
What a 7¢ share pays
Each share pays $1.00 on a win, so the profit per share is a dollar minus the price. On 100 dollars' worth of shares the return is 1,428.57, a profit of 1,328.57.
| Stake | Profit | Total return |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 132.86 | 142.86 |
| 25 | 332.14 | 357.14 |
| 50 | 664.29 | 714.29 |
| 100 | 1,328.57 | 1,428.57 |
| 500 | 6,642.86 | 7,142.86 |
| 1,000 | 13,285.71 | 14,285.71 |
Break-even and long-run results
Because the price is a probability, the break-even rate is the price itself: 7.00%. If your own estimate of the outcome is higher than 7.00%, the share is value; if it is lower, it is not.
| Win rate | Return on stake |
|---|---|
| 7% | 0.0% |
| 50% | 614.3% |
| 55% | 685.7% |
| 60% | 757.1% |
| 65% | 828.6% |
A 7¢ share is a longshot: 7.00% by the market's estimate, paying 1,328.57 per 100. Thin order books at low prices mean the quoted price and the price you actually get can differ by several cents.
Converting 7¢ by hand
Treat the price as a probability: 7¢ is 7.00%. Decimal odds are one divided by that, 14.286, which bookmakers would display as 14.29. American odds follow from the decimal price: an underdog, so (14.286 − 1) × 100 gives +1,329. In fractional terms the closest traditional price is 93/7.
YES, NO and the spread
On a liquid market the YES and NO prices add up to about $1.00; at 7¢ the NO side should be near 93.00%. Anything above $1.00 in total is the spread, the prediction-market equivalent of a bookmaker's vig. Enter both sides in the Polymarket converter to measure it.
Fees and comparison with sportsbooks
Fees, where a market charges them, come off profit and work exactly like exchange commission. At 2% the share is worth 14.020 decimal, at 5% 13.621. A sportsbook offering better than the effective price beats the market.
| Commission | Effective decimal | Effective American | Break-even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | 14.020 | +1,302 | 7.13% |
| 5% | 13.621 | +1,262 | 7.34% |
Same price in other formats
Nearby prices
Nearby prices
Frequently asked questions
What does a 7¢ price mean on Polymarket?
A share costs 7¢ and pays $1.00 if the market resolves in its favour, so the price is the market's probability: 7.00%. In sportsbook terms it is 14.29 decimal or +1,329 American odds.
How do I convert 7¢ to decimal odds?
Divide 1 by the price in dollars: 1 / 7¢ gives 14.286, shown as 14.29.
What is the NO price when YES is 7¢?
On a liquid market the NO side is about $1.00 minus the YES price, so roughly 93.00% in cents. The difference from exactly $1.00 in total is the spread.
Is 7¢ better than the sportsbook price?
Compare after fees. At 7¢ the share is worth 14.29 decimal before fees and 14.020 at a 2% fee. If a sportsbook offers more than that on the same outcome, the sportsbook is the better price.
What do I win per 100 dollars at 7¢?
100 dollars buys 100 / 7¢ shares, which pay 1,428.57 in total on a win: a profit of 1,328.57.