6¢ Polymarket Price Explained
- Decimal
- 16.67
- American
- +1,567
- Fractional
- 47/3
- Implied probability
- 6.00%
- Polymarket
- 6¢
- $100 wins
- 1,566.67
- American
- +1,567
- Fractional
- 47/3
- Implied probability
- 6.00%
- Polymarket
- 6¢
- Profit
- 1,566.67
- Total return
- 1,666.67
16.667 decimal, +1,567 American, 6.00% implied probability
A Polymarket share priced at 6¢ pays $1.00 if the market resolves in its favour, so the price is the market's probability: 6.00%. In sportsbook terms that is 16.67 decimal odds or +1,567 American odds. The NO side of the same market sits near 94.00%.
What a 6¢ share pays
Each share pays $1.00 on a win, so the profit per share is a dollar minus the price. On 100 dollars' worth of shares the return is 1,666.67, a profit of 1,566.67.
| Stake | Profit | Total return |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 156.67 | 166.67 |
| 25 | 391.67 | 416.67 |
| 50 | 783.33 | 833.33 |
| 100 | 1,566.67 | 1,666.67 |
| 500 | 7,833.33 | 8,333.33 |
| 1,000 | 15,666.67 | 16,666.67 |
Break-even and long-run results
Because the price is a probability, the break-even rate is the price itself: 6.00%. If your own estimate of the outcome is higher than 6.00%, the share is value; if it is lower, it is not.
| Win rate | Return on stake |
|---|---|
| 6% | 0.0% |
| 50% | 733.3% |
| 55% | 816.7% |
| 60% | 900.0% |
| 65% | 983.3% |
A 6¢ share is a longshot: 6.00% by the market's estimate, paying 1,566.67 per 100. Thin order books at low prices mean the quoted price and the price you actually get can differ by several cents.
Converting 6¢ by hand
Treat the price as a probability: 6¢ is 6.00%. Decimal odds are one divided by that, 16.667, which bookmakers would display as 16.67. American odds follow from the decimal price: an underdog, so (16.667 − 1) × 100 gives +1,567. In fractional terms the closest traditional price is 47/3.
YES, NO and the spread
On a liquid market the YES and NO prices add up to about $1.00; at 6¢ the NO side should be near 94.00%. Anything above $1.00 in total is the spread, the prediction-market equivalent of a bookmaker's vig. Enter both sides in the Polymarket converter to measure it.
Fees and comparison with sportsbooks
Fees, where a market charges them, come off profit and work exactly like exchange commission. At 2% the share is worth 16.353 decimal, at 5% 15.883. A sportsbook offering better than the effective price beats the market.
| Commission | Effective decimal | Effective American | Break-even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | 16.353 | +1,535 | 6.11% |
| 5% | 15.883 | +1,488 | 6.30% |
Same price in other formats
Nearby prices
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Frequently asked questions
What does a 6¢ price mean on Polymarket?
A share costs 6¢ and pays $1.00 if the market resolves in its favour, so the price is the market's probability: 6.00%. In sportsbook terms it is 16.67 decimal or +1,567 American odds.
How do I convert 6¢ to decimal odds?
Divide 1 by the price in dollars: 1 / 6¢ gives 16.667, shown as 16.67.
What is the NO price when YES is 6¢?
On a liquid market the NO side is about $1.00 minus the YES price, so roughly 94.00% in cents. The difference from exactly $1.00 in total is the spread.
Is 6¢ better than the sportsbook price?
Compare after fees. At 6¢ the share is worth 16.67 decimal before fees and 16.353 at a 2% fee. If a sportsbook offers more than that on the same outcome, the sportsbook is the better price.
What do I win per 100 dollars at 6¢?
100 dollars buys 100 / 6¢ shares, which pay 1,666.67 in total on a win: a profit of 1,566.67.