13¢ Polymarket Price Explained
- Decimal
- 7.69
- American
- +669
- Fractional
- 87/13
- Implied probability
- 13.00%
- Polymarket
- 13¢
- $100 wins
- 669.23
- American
- +669
- Fractional
- 87/13
- Implied probability
- 13.00%
- Polymarket
- 13¢
- Profit
- 669.23
- Total return
- 769.23
7.692 decimal, +669 American, 13.00% implied probability
Buying at 13¢ means risking 13¢ to win the rest of a dollar. That is a payout ratio of 7.69 (decimal odds) or +669 in American notation, and it implies an implied probability of 13.00% probability before fees.
What a 13¢ share pays
Each share pays $1.00 on a win, so the profit per share is a dollar minus the price. On 100 dollars' worth of shares the return is 769.23, a profit of 669.23.
| Stake | Profit | Total return |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 66.92 | 76.92 |
| 25 | 167.31 | 192.31 |
| 50 | 334.62 | 384.62 |
| 100 | 669.23 | 769.23 |
| 500 | 3,346.15 | 3,846.15 |
| 1,000 | 6,692.31 | 7,692.31 |
Break-even and long-run results
Because the price is a probability, the break-even rate is the price itself: 13.00%. If your own estimate of the outcome is higher than 13.00%, the share is value; if it is lower, it is not.
| Win rate | Return on stake |
|---|---|
| 13% | 0.0% |
| 50% | 284.6% |
| 55% | 323.1% |
| 60% | 361.5% |
| 65% | 400.0% |
A 13¢ share is a longshot: 13.00% by the market's estimate, paying 669.23 per 100. Thin order books at low prices mean the quoted price and the price you actually get can differ by several cents.
Converting 13¢ by hand
Treat the price as a probability: 13¢ is 13.00%. Decimal odds are one divided by that, 7.692, which bookmakers would display as 7.69. American odds follow from the decimal price: an underdog, so (7.692 − 1) × 100 gives +669. In fractional terms the closest traditional price is 87/13.
YES, NO and the spread
On a liquid market the YES and NO prices add up to about $1.00; at 13¢ the NO side should be near 87.00%. Anything above $1.00 in total is the spread, the prediction-market equivalent of a bookmaker's vig. Enter both sides in the Polymarket converter to measure it.
Fees and comparison with sportsbooks
Fees, where a market charges them, come off profit and work exactly like exchange commission. At 2% the share is worth 7.558 decimal, at 5% 7.358. A sportsbook offering better than the effective price beats the market.
| Commission | Effective decimal | Effective American | Break-even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | 7.558 | +656 | 13.23% |
| 5% | 7.358 | +636 | 13.59% |
Same price in other formats
Nearby prices
Nearby prices
Frequently asked questions
What does a 13¢ price mean on Polymarket?
A share costs 13¢ and pays $1.00 if the market resolves in its favour, so the price is the market's probability: 13.00%. In sportsbook terms it is 7.69 decimal or +669 American odds.
How do I convert 13¢ to decimal odds?
Divide 1 by the price in dollars: 1 / 13¢ gives 7.692, shown as 7.69.
What is the NO price when YES is 13¢?
On a liquid market the NO side is about $1.00 minus the YES price, so roughly 87.00% in cents. The difference from exactly $1.00 in total is the spread.
Is 13¢ better than the sportsbook price?
Compare after fees. At 13¢ the share is worth 7.69 decimal before fees and 7.558 at a 2% fee. If a sportsbook offers more than that on the same outcome, the sportsbook is the better price.
What do I win per 100 dollars at 13¢?
100 dollars buys 100 / 13¢ shares, which pay 769.23 in total on a win: a profit of 669.23.