14¢ Polymarket Price Explained
- Decimal
- 7.14
- American
- +614
- Fractional
- 43/7
- Implied probability
- 14.00%
- Polymarket
- 14¢
- $100 wins
- 614.29
- American
- +614
- Fractional
- 43/7
- Implied probability
- 14.00%
- Polymarket
- 14¢
- Profit
- 614.29
- Total return
- 714.29
7.143 decimal, +614 American, 14.00% implied probability
Buying at 14¢ means risking 14¢ to win the rest of a dollar. That is a payout ratio of 7.14 (decimal odds) or +614 in American notation, and it implies an implied probability of 14.00% probability before fees.
What a 14¢ share pays
Each share pays $1.00 on a win, so the profit per share is a dollar minus the price. On 100 dollars' worth of shares the return is 714.29, a profit of 614.29.
| Stake | Profit | Total return |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 61.43 | 71.43 |
| 25 | 153.57 | 178.57 |
| 50 | 307.14 | 357.14 |
| 100 | 614.29 | 714.29 |
| 500 | 3,071.43 | 3,571.43 |
| 1,000 | 6,142.86 | 7,142.86 |
Break-even and long-run results
Because the price is a probability, the break-even rate is the price itself: 14.00%. If your own estimate of the outcome is higher than 14.00%, the share is value; if it is lower, it is not.
| Win rate | Return on stake |
|---|---|
| 14% | 0.0% |
| 50% | 257.1% |
| 55% | 292.9% |
| 60% | 328.6% |
| 65% | 364.3% |
A 14¢ share is a longshot: 14.00% by the market's estimate, paying 614.29 per 100. Thin order books at low prices mean the quoted price and the price you actually get can differ by several cents.
Converting 14¢ by hand
Treat the price as a probability: 14¢ is 14.00%. Decimal odds are one divided by that, 7.143, which bookmakers would display as 7.14. American odds follow from the decimal price: an underdog, so (7.143 − 1) × 100 gives +614. In fractional terms the closest traditional price is 43/7.
YES, NO and the spread
On a liquid market the YES and NO prices add up to about $1.00; at 14¢ the NO side should be near 86.00%. Anything above $1.00 in total is the spread, the prediction-market equivalent of a bookmaker's vig. Enter both sides in the Polymarket converter to measure it.
Fees and comparison with sportsbooks
Fees, where a market charges them, come off profit and work exactly like exchange commission. At 2% the share is worth 7.020 decimal, at 5% 6.836. A sportsbook offering better than the effective price beats the market.
| Commission | Effective decimal | Effective American | Break-even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | 7.020 | +602 | 14.25% |
| 5% | 6.836 | +584 | 14.63% |
Same price in other formats
Nearby prices
Nearby prices
Frequently asked questions
What does a 14¢ price mean on Polymarket?
A share costs 14¢ and pays $1.00 if the market resolves in its favour, so the price is the market's probability: 14.00%. In sportsbook terms it is 7.14 decimal or +614 American odds.
How do I convert 14¢ to decimal odds?
Divide 1 by the price in dollars: 1 / 14¢ gives 7.143, shown as 7.14.
What is the NO price when YES is 14¢?
On a liquid market the NO side is about $1.00 minus the YES price, so roughly 86.00% in cents. The difference from exactly $1.00 in total is the spread.
Is 14¢ better than the sportsbook price?
Compare after fees. At 14¢ the share is worth 7.14 decimal before fees and 7.020 at a 2% fee. If a sportsbook offers more than that on the same outcome, the sportsbook is the better price.
What do I win per 100 dollars at 14¢?
100 dollars buys 100 / 14¢ shares, which pay 714.29 in total on a win: a profit of 614.29.