19¢ Polymarket Price Explained
- Decimal
- 5.26
- American
- +426
- Fractional
- 81/19
- Implied probability
- 19.00%
- Polymarket
- 19¢
- $100 wins
- 426.32
- American
- +426
- Fractional
- 81/19
- Implied probability
- 19.00%
- Polymarket
- 19¢
- Profit
- 426.32
- Total return
- 526.32
5.263 decimal, +426 American, 19.00% implied probability
A Polymarket share priced at 19¢ pays $1.00 if the market resolves in its favour, so the price is the market's probability: 19.00%. In sportsbook terms that is 5.26 decimal odds or +426 American odds. The NO side of the same market sits near 81.00%.
What a 19¢ share pays
Each share pays $1.00 on a win, so the profit per share is a dollar minus the price. On 100 dollars' worth of shares the return is 526.32, a profit of 426.32.
| Stake | Profit | Total return |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 42.63 | 52.63 |
| 25 | 106.58 | 131.58 |
| 50 | 213.16 | 263.16 |
| 100 | 426.32 | 526.32 |
| 500 | 2,131.58 | 2,631.58 |
| 1,000 | 4,263.16 | 5,263.16 |
Break-even and long-run results
Because the price is a probability, the break-even rate is the price itself: 19.00%. If your own estimate of the outcome is higher than 19.00%, the share is value; if it is lower, it is not.
| Win rate | Return on stake |
|---|---|
| 19% | 0.0% |
| 50% | 163.2% |
| 55% | 189.5% |
| 60% | 215.8% |
| 65% | 242.1% |
A 19¢ share is a longshot: 19.00% by the market's estimate, paying 426.32 per 100. Thin order books at low prices mean the quoted price and the price you actually get can differ by several cents.
Converting 19¢ by hand
Treat the price as a probability: 19¢ is 19.00%. Decimal odds are one divided by that, 5.263, which bookmakers would display as 5.26. American odds follow from the decimal price: an underdog, so (5.263 − 1) × 100 gives +426. In fractional terms the closest traditional price is 81/19.
YES, NO and the spread
On a liquid market the YES and NO prices add up to about $1.00; at 19¢ the NO side should be near 81.00%. Anything above $1.00 in total is the spread, the prediction-market equivalent of a bookmaker's vig. Enter both sides in the Polymarket converter to measure it.
Fees and comparison with sportsbooks
Fees, where a market charges them, come off profit and work exactly like exchange commission. At 2% the share is worth 5.178 decimal, at 5% 5.050. A sportsbook offering better than the effective price beats the market.
| Commission | Effective decimal | Effective American | Break-even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | 5.178 | +418 | 19.31% |
| 5% | 5.050 | +405 | 19.80% |
Same price in other formats
Same price in other formats
Nearby prices
Nearby prices
Frequently asked questions
What does a 19¢ price mean on Polymarket?
A share costs 19¢ and pays $1.00 if the market resolves in its favour, so the price is the market's probability: 19.00%. In sportsbook terms it is 5.26 decimal or +426 American odds.
How do I convert 19¢ to decimal odds?
Divide 1 by the price in dollars: 1 / 19¢ gives 5.263, shown as 5.26.
What is the NO price when YES is 19¢?
On a liquid market the NO side is about $1.00 minus the YES price, so roughly 81.00% in cents. The difference from exactly $1.00 in total is the spread.
Is 19¢ better than the sportsbook price?
Compare after fees. At 19¢ the share is worth 5.26 decimal before fees and 5.178 at a 2% fee. If a sportsbook offers more than that on the same outcome, the sportsbook is the better price.
What do I win per 100 dollars at 19¢?
100 dollars buys 100 / 19¢ shares, which pay 526.32 in total on a win: a profit of 426.32.