27¢ Polymarket Price Explained
- Decimal
- 3.70
- American
- +270
- Fractional
- 73/27
- Implied probability
- 27.00%
- Polymarket
- 27¢
- $100 wins
- 270.37
- American
- +270
- Fractional
- 73/27
- Implied probability
- 27.00%
- Polymarket
- 27¢
- Profit
- 270.37
- Total return
- 370.37
3.704 decimal, +270 American, 27.00% implied probability
A Polymarket share priced at 27¢ pays $1.00 if the market resolves in its favour, so the price is the market's probability: 27.00%. In sportsbook terms that is 3.70 decimal odds or +270 American odds. The NO side of the same market sits near 73.00%.
What a 27¢ share pays
Each share pays $1.00 on a win, so the profit per share is a dollar minus the price. On 100 dollars' worth of shares the return is 370.37, a profit of 270.37.
| Stake | Profit | Total return |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 27.04 | 37.04 |
| 25 | 67.59 | 92.59 |
| 50 | 135.19 | 185.19 |
| 100 | 270.37 | 370.37 |
| 500 | 1,351.85 | 1,851.85 |
| 1,000 | 2,703.70 | 3,703.70 |
Break-even and long-run results
Because the price is a probability, the break-even rate is the price itself: 27.00%. If your own estimate of the outcome is higher than 27.00%, the share is value; if it is lower, it is not.
| Win rate | Return on stake |
|---|---|
| 27% | 0.0% |
| 50% | 85.2% |
| 55% | 103.7% |
| 60% | 122.2% |
| 65% | 140.7% |
27¢ is an underdog share with an implied chance of 27.00% and a payout of 270.37 per 100 dollars staked. Prediction markets often price underdogs closer to fair than sportsbooks do, so this is a good range for cross-market comparison.
Converting 27¢ by hand
Treat the price as a probability: 27¢ is 27.00%. Decimal odds are one divided by that, 3.704, which bookmakers would display as 3.70. American odds follow from the decimal price: an underdog, so (3.704 − 1) × 100 gives +270. In fractional terms the closest traditional price is 73/27.
YES, NO and the spread
On a liquid market the YES and NO prices add up to about $1.00; at 27¢ the NO side should be near 73.00%. Anything above $1.00 in total is the spread, the prediction-market equivalent of a bookmaker's vig. Enter both sides in the Polymarket converter to measure it.
Fees and comparison with sportsbooks
Fees, where a market charges them, come off profit and work exactly like exchange commission. At 2% the share is worth 3.650 decimal, at 5% 3.569. A sportsbook offering better than the effective price beats the market.
| Commission | Effective decimal | Effective American | Break-even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | 3.650 | +265 | 27.40% |
| 5% | 3.569 | +257 | 28.02% |
Same price in other formats
Nearby prices
Nearby prices
Frequently asked questions
What does a 27¢ price mean on Polymarket?
A share costs 27¢ and pays $1.00 if the market resolves in its favour, so the price is the market's probability: 27.00%. In sportsbook terms it is 3.70 decimal or +270 American odds.
How do I convert 27¢ to decimal odds?
Divide 1 by the price in dollars: 1 / 27¢ gives 3.704, shown as 3.70.
What is the NO price when YES is 27¢?
On a liquid market the NO side is about $1.00 minus the YES price, so roughly 73.00% in cents. The difference from exactly $1.00 in total is the spread.
Is 27¢ better than the sportsbook price?
Compare after fees. At 27¢ the share is worth 3.70 decimal before fees and 3.650 at a 2% fee. If a sportsbook offers more than that on the same outcome, the sportsbook is the better price.
What do I win per 100 dollars at 27¢?
100 dollars buys 100 / 27¢ shares, which pay 370.37 in total on a win: a profit of 270.37.