26¢ Polymarket Price Explained
- Decimal
- 3.85
- American
- +285
- Fractional
- 37/13
- Implied probability
- 26.00%
- Polymarket
- 26¢
- $100 wins
- 284.62
- American
- +285
- Fractional
- 37/13
- Implied probability
- 26.00%
- Polymarket
- 26¢
- Profit
- 284.62
- Total return
- 384.62
3.846 decimal, +285 American, 26.00% implied probability
A Polymarket share priced at 26¢ pays $1.00 if the market resolves in its favour, so the price is the market's probability: 26.00%. In sportsbook terms that is 3.85 decimal odds or +285 American odds. The NO side of the same market sits near 74.00%.
What a 26¢ share pays
Each share pays $1.00 on a win, so the profit per share is a dollar minus the price. On 100 dollars' worth of shares the return is 384.62, a profit of 284.62.
| Stake | Profit | Total return |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 28.46 | 38.46 |
| 25 | 71.15 | 96.15 |
| 50 | 142.31 | 192.31 |
| 100 | 284.62 | 384.62 |
| 500 | 1,423.08 | 1,923.08 |
| 1,000 | 2,846.15 | 3,846.15 |
Break-even and long-run results
Because the price is a probability, the break-even rate is the price itself: 26.00%. If your own estimate of the outcome is higher than 26.00%, the share is value; if it is lower, it is not.
| Win rate | Return on stake |
|---|---|
| 26% | 0.0% |
| 50% | 92.3% |
| 55% | 111.5% |
| 60% | 130.8% |
| 65% | 150.0% |
26¢ is an underdog share with an implied chance of 26.00% and a payout of 284.62 per 100 dollars staked. Prediction markets often price underdogs closer to fair than sportsbooks do, so this is a good range for cross-market comparison.
Converting 26¢ by hand
Treat the price as a probability: 26¢ is 26.00%. Decimal odds are one divided by that, 3.846, which bookmakers would display as 3.85. American odds follow from the decimal price: an underdog, so (3.846 − 1) × 100 gives +285. In fractional terms the closest traditional price is 37/13.
YES, NO and the spread
On a liquid market the YES and NO prices add up to about $1.00; at 26¢ the NO side should be near 74.00%. Anything above $1.00 in total is the spread, the prediction-market equivalent of a bookmaker's vig. Enter both sides in the Polymarket converter to measure it.
Fees and comparison with sportsbooks
Fees, where a market charges them, come off profit and work exactly like exchange commission. At 2% the share is worth 3.789 decimal, at 5% 3.704. A sportsbook offering better than the effective price beats the market.
| Commission | Effective decimal | Effective American | Break-even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | 3.789 | +279 | 26.39% |
| 5% | 3.704 | +270 | 27.00% |
Same price in other formats
Nearby prices
Nearby prices
Frequently asked questions
What does a 26¢ price mean on Polymarket?
A share costs 26¢ and pays $1.00 if the market resolves in its favour, so the price is the market's probability: 26.00%. In sportsbook terms it is 3.85 decimal or +285 American odds.
How do I convert 26¢ to decimal odds?
Divide 1 by the price in dollars: 1 / 26¢ gives 3.846, shown as 3.85.
What is the NO price when YES is 26¢?
On a liquid market the NO side is about $1.00 minus the YES price, so roughly 74.00% in cents. The difference from exactly $1.00 in total is the spread.
Is 26¢ better than the sportsbook price?
Compare after fees. At 26¢ the share is worth 3.85 decimal before fees and 3.789 at a 2% fee. If a sportsbook offers more than that on the same outcome, the sportsbook is the better price.
What do I win per 100 dollars at 26¢?
100 dollars buys 100 / 26¢ shares, which pay 384.62 in total on a win: a profit of 284.62.