35¢ Polymarket Price Explained
- Decimal
- 2.86
- American
- +186
- Fractional
- 13/7
- Implied probability
- 35.00%
- Polymarket
- 35¢
- $100 wins
- 185.71
- American
- +186
- Fractional
- 13/7
- Implied probability
- 35.00%
- Polymarket
- 35¢
- Profit
- 185.71
- Total return
- 285.71
2.857 decimal, +186 American, 35.00% implied probability
Buying at 35¢ means risking 35¢ to win the rest of a dollar. That is a payout ratio of 2.86 (decimal odds) or +186 in American notation, and it implies an implied probability of 35.00% probability before fees.
What a 35¢ share pays
Each share pays $1.00 on a win, so the profit per share is a dollar minus the price. On 100 dollars' worth of shares the return is 285.71, a profit of 185.71.
| Stake | Profit | Total return |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 18.57 | 28.57 |
| 25 | 46.43 | 71.43 |
| 50 | 92.86 | 142.86 |
| 100 | 185.71 | 285.71 |
| 500 | 928.57 | 1,428.57 |
| 1,000 | 1,857.14 | 2,857.14 |
Break-even and long-run results
Because the price is a probability, the break-even rate is the price itself: 35.00%. If your own estimate of the outcome is higher than 35.00%, the share is value; if it is lower, it is not.
| Win rate | Return on stake |
|---|---|
| 35% | 0.0% |
| 50% | 42.9% |
| 55% | 57.1% |
| 60% | 71.4% |
| 65% | 85.7% |
35¢ is an underdog share with an implied chance of 35.00% and a payout of 185.71 per 100 dollars staked. Prediction markets often price underdogs closer to fair than sportsbooks do, so this is a good range for cross-market comparison.
Converting 35¢ by hand
Treat the price as a probability: 35¢ is 35.00%. Decimal odds are one divided by that, 2.857, which bookmakers would display as 2.86. American odds follow from the decimal price: an underdog, so (2.857 − 1) × 100 gives +186. In fractional terms the closest traditional price is 13/7.
YES, NO and the spread
On a liquid market the YES and NO prices add up to about $1.00; at 35¢ the NO side should be near 65.00%. Anything above $1.00 in total is the spread, the prediction-market equivalent of a bookmaker's vig. Enter both sides in the Polymarket converter to measure it.
Fees and comparison with sportsbooks
Fees, where a market charges them, come off profit and work exactly like exchange commission. At 2% the share is worth 2.820 decimal, at 5% 2.764. A sportsbook offering better than the effective price beats the market.
| Commission | Effective decimal | Effective American | Break-even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | 2.820 | +182 | 35.46% |
| 5% | 2.764 | +176 | 36.18% |
Same price in other formats
Same price in other formats
Nearby prices
Nearby prices
Frequently asked questions
What does a 35¢ price mean on Polymarket?
A share costs 35¢ and pays $1.00 if the market resolves in its favour, so the price is the market's probability: 35.00%. In sportsbook terms it is 2.86 decimal or +186 American odds.
How do I convert 35¢ to decimal odds?
Divide 1 by the price in dollars: 1 / 35¢ gives 2.857, shown as 2.86.
What is the NO price when YES is 35¢?
On a liquid market the NO side is about $1.00 minus the YES price, so roughly 65.00% in cents. The difference from exactly $1.00 in total is the spread.
Is 35¢ better than the sportsbook price?
Compare after fees. At 35¢ the share is worth 2.86 decimal before fees and 2.820 at a 2% fee. If a sportsbook offers more than that on the same outcome, the sportsbook is the better price.
What do I win per 100 dollars at 35¢?
100 dollars buys 100 / 35¢ shares, which pay 285.71 in total on a win: a profit of 185.71.