36¢ Polymarket Price Explained
- Decimal
- 2.78
- American
- +178
- Fractional
- 16/9
- Implied probability
- 36.00%
- Polymarket
- 36¢
- $100 wins
- 177.78
- American
- +178
- Fractional
- 16/9
- Implied probability
- 36.00%
- Polymarket
- 36¢
- Profit
- 177.78
- Total return
- 277.78
2.778 decimal, +178 American, 36.00% implied probability
A Polymarket share priced at 36¢ pays $1.00 if the market resolves in its favour, so the price is the market's probability: 36.00%. In sportsbook terms that is 2.78 decimal odds or +178 American odds. The NO side of the same market sits near 64.00%.
What a 36¢ share pays
Each share pays $1.00 on a win, so the profit per share is a dollar minus the price. On 100 dollars' worth of shares the return is 277.78, a profit of 177.78.
| Stake | Profit | Total return |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 17.78 | 27.78 |
| 25 | 44.44 | 69.44 |
| 50 | 88.89 | 138.89 |
| 100 | 177.78 | 277.78 |
| 500 | 888.89 | 1,388.89 |
| 1,000 | 1,777.78 | 2,777.78 |
Break-even and long-run results
Because the price is a probability, the break-even rate is the price itself: 36.00%. If your own estimate of the outcome is higher than 36.00%, the share is value; if it is lower, it is not.
| Win rate | Return on stake |
|---|---|
| 36% | -0.0% |
| 50% | 38.9% |
| 55% | 52.8% |
| 60% | 66.7% |
| 65% | 80.6% |
36¢ is an underdog share with an implied chance of 36.00% and a payout of 177.78 per 100 dollars staked. Prediction markets often price underdogs closer to fair than sportsbooks do, so this is a good range for cross-market comparison.
Converting 36¢ by hand
Treat the price as a probability: 36¢ is 36.00%. Decimal odds are one divided by that, 2.778, which bookmakers would display as 2.78. American odds follow from the decimal price: an underdog, so (2.778 − 1) × 100 gives +178. In fractional terms the closest traditional price is 16/9.
YES, NO and the spread
On a liquid market the YES and NO prices add up to about $1.00; at 36¢ the NO side should be near 64.00%. Anything above $1.00 in total is the spread, the prediction-market equivalent of a bookmaker's vig. Enter both sides in the Polymarket converter to measure it.
Fees and comparison with sportsbooks
Fees, where a market charges them, come off profit and work exactly like exchange commission. At 2% the share is worth 2.742 decimal, at 5% 2.689. A sportsbook offering better than the effective price beats the market.
| Commission | Effective decimal | Effective American | Break-even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | 2.742 | +174 | 36.47% |
| 5% | 2.689 | +169 | 37.19% |
Same price in other formats
Same price in other formats
Nearby prices
Nearby prices
Frequently asked questions
What does a 36¢ price mean on Polymarket?
A share costs 36¢ and pays $1.00 if the market resolves in its favour, so the price is the market's probability: 36.00%. In sportsbook terms it is 2.78 decimal or +178 American odds.
How do I convert 36¢ to decimal odds?
Divide 1 by the price in dollars: 1 / 36¢ gives 2.778, shown as 2.78.
What is the NO price when YES is 36¢?
On a liquid market the NO side is about $1.00 minus the YES price, so roughly 64.00% in cents. The difference from exactly $1.00 in total is the spread.
Is 36¢ better than the sportsbook price?
Compare after fees. At 36¢ the share is worth 2.78 decimal before fees and 2.742 at a 2% fee. If a sportsbook offers more than that on the same outcome, the sportsbook is the better price.
What do I win per 100 dollars at 36¢?
100 dollars buys 100 / 36¢ shares, which pay 277.78 in total on a win: a profit of 177.78.